Multiple Polls Show Democrats in Trouble Only Months from Election
Multiple polls recently released by RMG Research showed vulnerable Democrats across the country are in danger of losing less than three months from election night.
Texas’ Fifteenth Congressional District poll showed that Republican Monica De La Cruz would win against her Democrat opponent, Michelle Vallejo, according to an RMG Research poll of 400 likely midterm voters in the district from July 22 to 29. The poll’s margin of error was plus or minus 4.9 percent.
- Monica De La Cruz: 44 percent
- Michelle Vallejo: 40 percent
- Some other candidate: 4 percent
- Not sure: 12 percent
North Carolina’s new Thirteenth Congressional District poll showed that Republican Bo Hines would win against his Democrat opponent, Wally Nickel, according to an RMG Research poll of 400 likely midterm voters in the district from July 31 to August 6. The poll’s margin of error was plus or minus 4.9 percent.
- Bo Hines: 44 percent
- Wally Nickel: 39 percent
- Some other candidate: 3 percent
- Not sure: 14 percent
Maryland’s Sixth Congressional District poll showed that the incumbent, Rep. David Trone (D), would lose to his Republican challenger, Neil Parrott, according to an RMG Research poll of 400 likely midterm voters in the district from August 3 to 9. The poll’s margin of error was plus or minus 4.9 percent.
- Neil Parrott: 45 percent
- Rep. David Trone: 43 percent
- Some other candidate: 3 percent
- Not sure: 9 percent
Pennsylvania’s Seventh Congressional District poll showed that the incumbent, Rep. Susan Wild (D), would lose to her Republican challenger, Lisa Scheller, according to an RMG Research poll of 400 likely midterm voters in the district from July 31 to August 5. The poll’s margin of error was plus or minus 4.9 percent.
- Lisa Scheller: 47 percent
- Rep. Susan Wild: 43 percent
- Some other candidate: 2 percent
- Not sure: 8 percent
Pennsylvania’s First Congressional District poll showed that the Republican incumbent, Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick, would fend off his Democrat challenger, Ashley Ehasz, but is within reach of the incumbent, according to an RMG Research poll of 400 likely midterm voters in the district from July 22 to 29. The poll’s margin of error was plus or minus 4.9 percent.
- Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick: 42 percent
- Ashley Ehasz: 35 percent
- Some other candidate: 10 percent
- Not sure: 13 percent
Nevada’s Fourth Congressional District poll showed that the incumbent, Rep. Steven Horsford (D), is tied with his Republican challenger, Sam Peters, according to an RMG Research poll of 400 likely midterm voters in the district from August 2 to 8. The poll’s margin of error was plus or minus 4.9 percent.
- Sam Peters: 43 percent
- Rep. Steven Horsford: 43 percent
- Some other candidate: 4 percent
- Not sure: 10 percent
Washington’s Eighth Congressional District poll showed that the Democrat incumbent, Rep. Kim Schrier, would fend off her Republican challenger, Matt Larkin, but is within reach of the incumbent, according to an RMG Research poll of 400 likely midterm voters in the district from August 10 to 15. The poll’s margin of error was plus or minus 4.9 percent.
- Matt Larkin: 43 percent
- Rep. Kim Schrier: 47 percent
- Some other candidate: 3 percent
- Not sure: 8 percent
Arizona’s Fourth Congressional District poll showed that the Democrat incumbent, Rep. Greg Stanton, would fend off her Republican challenger, Kelly Cooper, but is within reach of the incumbent, according to an RMG Research poll of 400 likely midterm voters in the district from August 10 to 15. The poll’s margin of error was plus or minus 4.9 percent.
- Matt Larkin: 39 percent
- Rep. Greg Stanton: 46 percent
- Some other candidate: 4 percent
- Not sure: 11 percent
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